How to choose the best mutual fund for your portfolio

Selecting Right Mutual Fund is like selecting Right Life Partner. Any wrong decision can wipe out your personal wealth. What makes it more difficult is volatility in performance of mutual fund. Some people select Mutual Fund only on the basis on their rankings.

If mutual fund rankings  are 100% correct then all portals or financial advisers should suggest same set of mutual funds to their clients or readers. You will find large variation in the rankings of Mutual Funds.

Second problem is volatility in performance. A star performer fund this year might be worst performing fund next year. It is advisable to review the investment portfolio every 6 to 12 months. In short, undertake the exercise of selecting right mutual fund every 6 to 12 months. Third problem with Indian investor is that they invest without evaluating the investment objective. Reason being investment objective help to decide in which mutual fund class the investor should invest.

Lastly, it is absolutely necessary to understand in which direction economy will move in next 12 months.

Choosing a scheme from thousands of mutual fund schemes available in the market is not easy for many investors. Opting for the right mutual fund scheme is one of the biggest hurdles faced by many new investors. However, you would be fine if you are ready to follow some broad guidelines.

Alpha

A measure of a scheme’s over- or under-performance by comparison to its benchmark. It represents the return of the scheme when the benchmark is assumed to have a return of zero, and thus indicates the extra value that the manager’s activities have contributed.

Beta

Beta is a statistical estimate of a scheme’s volatility by comparison to that of its benchmark, i.e. how sensitive the scheme is to movements in the section of the market that comprises the benchmark. Beta close to 1 means a scheme is likely to move in line with its benchmark, greater than 1 and the scheme is more volatile than the benchmark.

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The R-Squared measure is an indication of how closely correlated a scheme is to an index or a benchmark. It uses an R-Squared range between 0 and 1, with 0 indicating no correlation at all, and 1 showing a perfect match. Values upwards of 0.7 suggest that the scheme’s behaviour is increasingly closely linked to its benchmark, whereas the relevance begins to diminish below that.

Sharpe

Sharpe calculates the level of a scheme’s return against the return of a notional risk-free investment, such as cash or Government bonds. The difference in returns is then divided by the scheme’s standard deviation – its volatility, or risk measurement. The resulting ratio is an indication of the amount of excess return generated per unit of risk. Therefore, a negative Sharpe usually suggests investments would have been better off in risk-free government securities. When analysing similar investments, the one with the highest Sharpe has achieved more return while taking on no more risk than its fellows – or, conversely, has achieved a similar return with less risk.

riskVolatility

Volatility is calculated using standard deviation, a statistical measurement which, when applied to an investment scheme, expresses its volatility, or risk. Volatility shows how widely a range of returns varied from the scheme’s average return over a particular period.

Lower volatility means that the holding’s value changes at a steady pace over time.

Higher volatility means that the holding’s value fluctuates over short time periods.

Discrete Performance

The aggregate amount that the investment has gained or lost between two specified time periods.

Distribution of Returns

Distribution analysis looks at the distribution of returns over a given time period. The X axis shows all the possible returns with the theoretical range of -100% to + infinity.

The Y axis shows the frequency with which these returns occur. The purpose of this sort of analysis is to look past the scheme’s average return and determine whether it is the most likely return. This is done by looking at the bell curve and measuring the distributions skew and kurtosis.

Do Not Compare Yourself with Other Investors While Making Investment

Simple Annualised Performance

The absolute increase or decrease in value of an investment over a given period of time, expressed as a percentage per year.

Dividend Yield

The return on an investment by means of interest or dividends received from the holdings. Dividend Yield within fact sheets is supplied by the Scheme Manager on a regular basis, who is under no obligation to define the type of dividend yield supplied i.e. Gross/Net or Running/Redemption.

Tax treatment of dividends

Dividends received from all mutual funds are tax free in the hands of the investors.

However, in the case of debt funds the fund house pays a dividend distribution tax of 28.84% which includes surcharge and cess. In an equity mutual fund there is no dividend distribution tax.

Absolute Performance

This measure looks at the appreciation or depreciation that an asset achieves over a given period of time.Unlike Relative performance, which is compared to another measure or benchmark.

Calendar Year Performance

The aggregate amount that the investment has gained or lost between the dates 1st January to the 31st December for the specified year.

Compound Annualised Performance

The rate of return which represents the cumulative effect that a series of gains or losses have on an original amount of capital over a given period of time, typically one year and above, expressed on annual basis or return per year.

Note : Past performance of fund does not guarantee the future returns.

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

Amber Enterprises India Limited IPO Review and GMP

Punjab based Amber Enterprises India Limited (Incorporated in 1990) is manufacturer of air conditioners and its component in India. With the market share of 55.4%, Amber is the market leader in the Room Air Conditioner . The company manufactures RAC’s for 8 out of the 10 top RAC brands in India including Daikin, Hitachi, LG, Panasonic, Voltas and Whirlpool. These 8 brands have over 75% of market share in India.The Company has 10 manufacturing facilities across seven locations in India.

Super anchor book! Sold 20.8 lakh equity shares to 15 anchor investors for Rs. 178.71 crore

Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
Blackrock India Equities Mauritius Limited
Goldman Sachs India Limited
Kuwait Investment Authority Fund
ICICI Prudential Business Cycle Fund Series 2
ICICI Prudential Value Fund – Series 10
HDFC Small Cap Fund
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund
Reliance Small Cap Fund
Aditya Birla Sun Life

List of Anchor Investors :

Download (PDF, 283KB)

 

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The Product portfolio includes :

1. Room Air Conditioners : This includes window air conditioners and indoor units and outdoor units of split air conditioners.

2. RAC Components : Critical components such as heat exchangers, motors and multi-flow condensers.

3. Other Components : Other related components including case liners for refrigerator, plastic extrusion sheets for consumer durables and automobile industry, sheet metal components for microwave, washing machine tub assemblies and for automobiles and metal ceiling industries.

The Company has a dedicated R&D centre at its Rajpura facility which is equipped and is accredited by National Accreditation Board for Testing and Calibration Laboratories (NABL) with ISO/IEC 17025:2005 certification and facilities for 3D modelling, quality and product testing.

IPO Particulars:

IPO Opens on : 17th Janaury 2018
IPO Closes on : 19th January 2018
Issue Type: Book Built Issue IPO
Issue Size:[.] Equity Shares of Rs 10 aggregating up to INR 600.00 Cr
#Fresh Issue of [.] Equity Shares of Rs 10 aggregating up to INR475.00 Cr
#Offer for Sale of [.] Equity Shares of Rs 10 aggregating up to INR 125.00 Cr
Face Value: INR 10 per Share
Price Band: INR 855-859 Per Equity Share
Minimum Order Quantity:17 Shares
Listing will at: NSE,BSE

Tentative Timetable:

Finalisation of Allotment : 24 January 2018
Refund : 25 January 2018
Transfer of Shares to Demat A/c:29 January 2018
Listing Expected on 30 January 2018

Objects Of The Issue:-

  • Prepayment or repayment of all or a portion of certain borrowings – INR400 crore
  • General Corporate purposes – remaining amount

Lead Managers:

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited
IDFC Bank Limited
SBI Capital Markets Limited
BNP Paribas

Registrar to the IPO:

Karvy ComputerShare Private Ltd

Promoters Of the Company:-

  1. Jasbir Singh
  2. Daljit Singh

Global Air Conditioner Market Split by Segments

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Global RAC Volume Market Size and Forecast (Million Units)

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RAC Market Penetration – Select Asian Countries and Global

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Competitive Strengths

1. Market leadership in the RAC OEM/ODM industry in India.

2. One stop solutions provider for the RAC industry with high degree of backward integration.

3. Strong customer relationships with the majority of leading RAC brands in India.

4. R&D and product design capabilities leading to high proportion of ODM business.

5. Track record of financial performance.

6. Economies of Scale.

7. Culture of innovation and highly experienced management.

Market Penetration of Consumer Durables, India vs. Global (%), Fiscal 2015

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Evolution of Room Air Conditioners in India

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Financial Highlights

  • Amber Enterprises net worth, as of Sept. 30, was close to Rs 363 crore, translating into book value of Rs 115 a share after fresh issuance.
  • Its revenue has been growing at an annualised rate of 17 percent, while net profit rose at 9 percent in five years to March 2017.
  • For the first half ended September, revenue and net profit stood at Rs 938 crore and Rs 27 crore, respectively.
  • Earnings before interest, tax and depreciation and amortisation grew at a CAGR of 23.5 percent, while Ebitda margins expanded 150 basis points in the last five years to 7.8 percent.
  • For the first half ended September, Ebitda and margins stood at Rs 84 crore and 9 percent, respectively.
  • The company has a total debt of close to Rs 554 crore, which would fall it looks to use Rs 400 crore from the IPO proceeds to pare debt.

Market Structure RAC

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Market Share Analysis RAC

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Key Strategies

Expansion of existing product portfolio with a focus on ODM.

Expand domestic customer base and grow export sales.

Continuing innovation and strengthening the R&D capacity.

Pursue selective acquisitions, partnership opportunities and inorganic growth.

Continue to focus on increasing efficiency and profitability.

Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management ( First MF ) IPO Review

Negative

Amber’s business is dependent on certain principal customers and the loss of, or a significant reduction in purchases by, such customers could adversely affect its business, financial condition, results of operations and future prospects.

If its customers do not continue to outsource manufacturing, or if there is a downward trend in OEM/ODM business, its sales could be adversely affected.

Any slowdown in the RAC industry may adversely impact its business, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.

Amber’s inability to identify and understand evolving industry trends, technological advancements, customer preferences and develop new products to meet its customers’ demands may adversely affect its business.

Amber do not have firm commitment agreements with its customers. If its customers choose not to source their requirements from us, its business and results of operations may be adversely affected.

Amber have experienced growth in the past few years and if company are unable to sustain or manage its growth, its business and results of operations may be adversely affected.

Amber failure to compete effectively in the highly competitive RAC and equipment manufacturing industry could result in the loss of customers, which could have an adverse effect on its business, results of operations, financial condition and future prospects.

Pricing pressure from customers may adversely affect its gross margin, profitability and ability to increase our prices.

Amber manufacturing capacity may not correspond precisely to customers’ demands which may affect its results of operations.

Amber Enterprises and its Subsidiaries are involved in certain legal proceedings, which, if determined against us could have a material adverse effect on its financial condition, results of operations and its reputation.

Amber have undertaken and may continue to undertake strategic investments and alliances, acquisitions and mergers in the future, which may be difficult to integrate and manage. These may expose us to uncertainties and risks, any of which could adversely affect its business, financial condition and result of operations.

Dixon Technologies IPO – Review

Peer Comparison

Amber Enterprises has no listed competitors. Dixon Technologies Ltd. has a similar business model but caters to a different market—an equipment vendor for makers of washing machines, LED televisions, lighting products and mobile phones.

Valuations

“At the higher end of the price band of Rs 859, the issue is valued at 96.8 times price to earnings (PE) on FY17 basis (post dilution) and 49.4 times on first half of FY18 (annualized) basis. While the company holds leadership position , it is difficult to justify its valuation due to lack of clarity of the growth trend in the financial performance.

“Single digit earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin, average of 8% for last 5 years and return on equity is 10%.

Grey market premium

GMP is 575, Kostak is 550, Subject to Rs. 6000/-

Conclusion

Investors may consider for short to medium term gain.

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

 

How Small cap Funds beat Nifty : A complete analysis of Different charts and Fact sheet

1. Cumulative Performance Chart (%)
 
2. Discrete Bar Chart
 
3. FACT SHEET OF SMALL CAP INDEX
 
4. Interactive Performance chart
 
5. Distribution Chart Period Type 3 years
 
6. Ratio Table
 
7. Rolling Bar Chart
 
8. Systematic Investment plan ( SIP ) Chart for last 5 Years SIP of Rs. 50000/- p.m.
 
9. Regular Withdrawal chart

Initial Investment: 10000000.00

Data Frequency: Monthly

Withdrawals Date: 10th of the Month

Withdrawals Amount: 100000.00 Monthly For 5 years

Data Frequency: Monthly

Withdrawals Date: 10th of the Month

Withdrawals Amount: 100000.00 Monthly For 5 years

10. Static Scatter Chart
 

Cumulative Performance Chart  (%)

Cumulative Performance (%) Cumulative PerformanceDiscrete Bar Chart

Discrete Bar Chart

FACT SHEET OF SMALL CAP INDEX

Download (PDF, 172KB)

What are Dynamic Funds? ( Video )

Interactive Performance chartInteractive Performance chart 1Distribution Chart Period Type 3 years

Distribution Chart Period Type 3 years

Retirement Fund : What is a Systematic Withdrawal Plan ( VIDEO )

Ratio TableRatio TableRolling Bar Chart

Rolling Bar Chart

Do Not Compare Yourself with Other Investors While Making Investment

Systematic Investment plan ( SIP ) Chart for last 5 Years SIP of Rs. 50000/- p.m.

SIP CHART 4Regular Withdrawal chart

Initial Investment: 10000000.00

Data Frequency: Monthly

Withdrawals Date: 10th of the Month

Withdrawals Amount: 100000.00 Monthly For 5 years

Data Frequency: Monthly

Withdrawals Date: 10th of the Month

Withdrawals Amount: 100000.00 Monthly For 5 years

 

Regular withdrwal chart 2Static Scatter Chart

Static Scatter Chart

DISCLAIMER

Past performance of fund does not guarantee the future returns

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.