ICICI Sec. IPO Review and the list of anchor investors

ICICI Sec. is a leading technology-based securities firm in India that offers a wide range of financial services including brokerage, financial product distribution and investment banking and focuses on both retail and institutional clients. It has been the largest equity broker in India since fiscal 2014 by brokerage revenue and active customers in equities on the National Stock Exchange, powered by its significant retail brokerage business, which accounted for 90.5% of the revenue from its brokerage business (excluding income earned on our funds used in the brokerage business) in fiscal 2017.

ICICI Securities Raises Rs 1,718 Crore From Anchor Investors.

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ICICI-Securities-IPO

Its retail brokerage and distribution businesses are supported by its nationwide network, consisting of over 200 of its own branches, over 2,600 branches of ICICI Bank through which its electronic brokerage platform is marketed and over 4,600 sub-brokers, authorized persons, independent financial associates and independent associates as at September 30, 2017.

ICICI Sec. is empanelled with a large cross-section of institutional clients.

IPO Dates & Price Band:

  • IPO Open: 22-March-2018
  • IPO Close: 26-March-2018
  • IPO Size: Approx Rs.4017 Crore (Approx)
  • Face Value: Rs.5 Per Equity Share
  • Price Band: Rs.519 to 520 Per Share
  • Listing on: BSE & NSE
  • Retail Portion: 10%
  • Equity: 77,249,508 Shares

Market Lot:

  • Shares: Apply for 28 Shares (Minimum Lot Size)
  • Amount: Rs.14,560

Allotment & Listing:

  • Basis of Allotment: 2-April-2018
  • Refunds: 3-April-2018
  • Credit to demat accounts: 4-April-2018
  • Listing: 5-April-2018

The promoters:

ICICI Bank Ltd.

Lead Managers:

DSP Merrill Lynch Limited

Citigroup Global Markets India Private Limited

CLSA India Private Limited

Edelweiss Financial Services Limited

IIFL Holdings Limited

SBI Capital Markets Limited

Object of the issue:

The objects of the Offer for the Company are to achieve the benefit of listing the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges and for the sale of Equity Shares by the Promoter Selling Shareholder. Further, the Company expects that the listing of Equity Shares will enhance its visibility and brand image and provide liquidity to its existing shareholders.

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Our Strengths

Largest Equity Broker in India Powered by Our Proprietary Technology Platform.

Natural Beneficiary of Fundamental Transformation in the Indian Savings Environment.

Strong and Growing Distribution Business with an “OpenSource” Distribution Model.

Superior Customer Experience through Product and Technology Innovation.

Strategic Component of the ICICI Ecosystem.

Strong Financial Performance with Significant Operating Efficiency.

Experienced Senior Management Team.

i8Our Strategies

Strengthen its Leadership Position in the Brokerage Business.

Continue Investing in Technology and Innovation.

Strategically Expand its Financial Product Distribution Business Through Cross-Selling.

Leverage its Leadership in Equity Capital Markets to Strengthen its Financial Advisory Businesses.

Diversify its Revenue Streams and Continue Reducing Revenue Volatility.

Future Supply Chain Solutions Ltd IPO Review

Negative

Some of its Directors, its Promoter and certain Group Companies are involved in certain legal and other proceedings.

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General economic and market conditions in India and globally could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects.

ICICI Sec. rely heavily on its relationship with ICICI Bank for many aspects of its business, and its dependence on ICICI Bank leaves us vulnerable to changes in its relationship.

The operation of its businesses is highly dependent on information technology, and ICICI Sec. are subject to risks arising from any failure of, or inadequacies in, its IT systems.

ICICI Sec. rely on its brokerage business for a substantial share of its revenue and profitability. Any reduction in its brokerage fees could have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects.

ICICI Sec. is subject to extensive statutory and regulatory requirements and supervision, which have a material influence on, and consequences for, its business operations.

ICICI Sec. may fail to detect money laundering and other illegal or improper activities in its business operations on a timely basis.

There are operational risks associated with the financial services industry which, if realised, may have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition, cash flows, results of operations and prospects.

ICICI Sec. faces intense competition in its businesses, which may limit its growth and prospects.

ICICI Sec. may not be able to sustain its growth or expand its customer base.

ICICI Sec. faces certain other risks related to its distribution business, which accounts for a significant portion of its revenue and profitability.

ICICI Sec. face various risks due to its reliance on third-party intermediaries, contractors and service providers.

ICICI Sec. face various risks in relation to its investment banking business.

ICICI Sec. may incur losses on its treasury and trading business from market volatility or its investment strategies.

Its Promoter, ICICI Bank, and some of its Directors and related entities may be subject to conflicts of interest because they compete against us and have interests in companies which are in the same line of business as us.

Credit risks in our day-to-day operations, including in its investment portfolio, may expose us to significant losses.

ICICI Sec. have experienced negative cash flows in the prior years.

Cash Flow

i2Financial

Its profit after tax was INR 717.5 million, INR 891.9 million, INR 2,938.7 million, INR 2,387.2 million, INR 3,385.9 million and INR 2,460.5 million in fiscals 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 and 2017 and the six months ended September 30, 2017, respectively, and its return on equity has exceeded 30.0% for each measured period since fiscal 2013. For fiscal 2017, our return on equity was 69.2%.

Comparison of Listed Peers

i4Valuations

Annualised EPS works out to Rs 10.48 for the year ended March 2017. At the upper end of the price band, shares will trade at 49.6 times its earnings.

High valuations despite less capital intensive business.

Grey market premium

Current GMP is Rs.6/-, and  Kostak is Rs.300/- (sellers)

 

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here

Hindustan Aeronautics Limited IPO Review and Current GMP

Hindustan Aeronautic is engaged in manufacturing, development, design, repair and servicing of products like helicopters, aero-engines, aero space structures, aircraft and many more. Hindustan Aeronautic India has the unique products portfolio and the operations have names like Bangalore Complex, MiG Complex, Helicopter Complex, Accessories Complex, and Design Complex and they have over 11 production division with 11 R&D centers in India.

Their major domestic customers are Indian Air Force, Indian Army, Indian Navy, Indian Coast Guard, Indian Space Research Organisation, Defence Research & Development Organisation, Ordnance Factory Board, ,Border Security Force, Oil & Natural Gas Cooperation of India, Govt. of Karnataka, Govt. of Jharkhand, Govt. of Maharashtra, Geological Survey of India, Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. They export their products in France, USA, Mauritius, Israel, Ecuador, Namibia, Nepal, Russia, UK, Oman, Malaysia, Thailand, Germany and Vietnam. The company received “Excellent” rating from Government of India from 2002 to 2016.

Hindustan Aeronautics is ‘Navratna’ company since June 2007 and the largest DPSU in India. It is the 39th largest aerospace company in the world in terms of revenue. The company was also awarded Raksha Mantri’s Award for excellence in performance under institutional category in FY 2008, FY 2010, FY 2011, FY 2013 and FY 2016.

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IPO Dates & Price Band:

  • IPO Open: 16-March-2018
  • IPO Close: 20-March-2018
  • IPO Size: Approx Rs. 4482 Crore (Approx)
  • Face Value: Rs.10 Per Equity Share
  • Price Band: Rs.1214 to 1240 Per Share
  • Listing on: BSE & NSE
  • Retail Portion: 35%
  • Equity: 34,107,525 Shares
  • Discount:  Rs.25 for Retail & Employee

Market Lot:

  • Shares: Apply for 12 Shares (Minimum Lot Size)
  • Amount: Rs.14,580 (For Retail & Employee)
  • Amount: Rs.14,880 (For QIB & HNI)

IPO Allotment & Listing:

  • Basis of Allotment: 26-March-2018
  • Refunds: 27-March-2018
  • Credit to demat accounts: 27-March-2018
  • Listing: 28-March-2018

The promoters:

The President of India

Acting through the Department of Defence Production Ministry of Defence.

 Lead Managers:

SBI Capital Markets Ltd
Axis Capital Ltd

Registrar to the IPO:

Karvy Computershare Pvt Ltd.

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Outlook of the Indian Aerospace and Defence Sector

India has the third largest military in the world and is the sixth largest spender in Defence. India is also one of the largest importers of conventional defence equipment and spends approximately 30% of its total defence budget on capital acquisitions. 60% of Indian’s defence – related requirements are currently met through imports.

In addition, the ‘ Make in India ’initiative by the Government is focusing its efforts on increasing indigenous defence manufacturing with the aim of becoming self – reliant.

The opening up of the defence sector for private sector participation is helping foreign OEMs to enter into strategic partnerships with Indian companies and leverage opportunities in the domestic market as well as global markets.

India’s focus on indigenous manufacturing in the defence sector has yielded certain benefits as the MoD over the last two years unveiled several products manufactured in India including the LCA Tejas, the composites sonar dome, a portable elemedicine system for the armed forces, penetration – cum – blast and thermobaric ammunition specifically designed for the Arjun tanks, the Varunastra heavyweight torpedo manufactured with 95% locally sourced parts and medium-range surface-to-air missiles. The Defence Acquisition Council under the MoD cleared defence sector transactions with a value of more than 820 billion under the buy and Make (Indian) and Buy Indian categories. These transactions include the procurement of Light Combat Aircraft, T-90 tanks, mini UAVs and light combat helicopters.

121Our Strengths

India has the third largest military in the world and is the 6th largest spender in the defence sector.

60% of total defence requirements of India as on today is met from imports. Hindustan Aeronautics is poised to gain under the ‘Buy and Make (Indian)’ procurement category. The company has all the necessary capabilities and technology (including licensed technology) to capture maximum relevant defence budget spend going ahead.

Long credible history of research, design and development, manufacturing and maintenance, repair and overhaul (“MRO”) services.

Setting up a goal: First step to Financial Planning ( Video )

Established track record in offering product lifecycle support extending to periods beyond four decades.

Indian armed forces plan to procure more than 1000 rotary wing aircrafts and will revamp their fleet in next 10-20 years.

Strong design and development capabilities.

Leadership position in the Indian aeronautical industry and strong GoI support.

Diversified product portfolio.

Strong financial track record.

Experienced management team and operating team.

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Our Strategies

Expand its operations through partnerships or collaboration.

Diversify through expansion in new growth areas.

Diversify further into the civil aircraft segment for both manufacturing and servicing opportunities.

Develop in-house capabilities to design and develop specialized products including aero – engines.

Leverage Existing Cost Advantage.

Developing Human Capital.

Enhancing customer satisfaction.

Optimising operations towards becoming a lead integrator of aircraft platforms.

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Negative

There are outstanding legal and tax proceedings involving its Company. Any adverse decision in such proceedings may expose us to liabilities or penalties and may adversely affect its business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

Hindustan Aeronautics depend heavily on MoD contracts. A decline or reprioritisation of funding in the Indian defence budget, that of customers including the Indian Army, Indian Air Force and Indian Navy (the “Indian Defence Services”), Indian Coast Guard, Border Security Force, Central Reserve Police Force and Paramilitary forces or delays in the budget process could adversely affect its ability to grow or maintain its sales, earnings, and cash flow.

As a result of national securities concerns,certain information in relation to its business and operations is classified as ‘secret and confidential’ pursuant to which we have not disclosed such information in this RHP nor provided such information to the BRLMs and other intermediaries and advisors involved in the Offer.

The MoD contracts are not always fully funded at inception and are subject to termination. Its inability to fund such contracts at the time of inception or any termination could have a material adverse effect on its financial condition and results of operations.

Its Company is not in compliance with certain provisions of the Companies Act and/or SEBI Listing Regulations in relation to terms of reference of the Audit Committee and the Nomination and Remuneration Committee.

Ongoing disclosure of information in relation to its Company after the listing of the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges may be limited and may not be in compliance with the SEBI Listing Regulations and other applicable laws.

The GoI has significant influence over its actions which may restrict its ability to manage its business. Any change in GoI policy could have a material adverse effect on its financial condition and results of operations.

EMI VS SIP ( Be controlled or take control )

Its current order book may not necessarily translate into future income in its entirety. Some of its current orders or requests for a proposal which we have received may be modified, cancelled, delayed, put on hold or not fully paid for by its customers, which could adversely affect its results of operations.

Hindustan Aeronautics is involved in a dispute with the Ministry of Defence of Ecuador relating to their termination of an agreement with us relating to the supply of helicopters to the Ecuadorean Air Force. Its revenue and exports may be adversely affected as a result.

Hindustan Aeronautics also operate in evolving markets, which makes it difficult to evaluate its business and future prospects.

Its earnings and margins may vary based on the mix of its contracts and programs, its performance, and its ability to control costs.

Its business could be materially adversely affected if any default of its causes an aircraft or helicopter accident.

ALH Dhruv Helicopters supplied to the Ecuadorean Air Force were involved in accidents, and The Ecuadorean Ministry of Defence has designated the company as a defaulting contractor and has barred it from bidding for future contracts. This can affect the future exports and company’s ability to bid outside India.

The aircraft such as MiG-21 variants, MiG-27 and the Su-30 MKI, as well as engines and other accessories, and repair and overhaul services for these aircraft that are manufactured in India are done through transfer of technology from Russian OEMs as well as pursuant to inter-governmental agreements with Russia. The United States, the United Nations Security Council and other jurisdictions and organizations have implemented comprehensive economic sanctions targeting Russia in recent years. This can have an adverse impact relating to the supply and support from Russian OEMs for the aircraft that Hindustan Aeronautic manufacture under transfer of technology with such OEMs.

Valuation

On the performance front, Hindustan Aeronautic has (on a consolidated basis) posted turnover/net profits of Rs. 17362.00 cr. / Rs. 994.10 cr. (FY15), Rs. 18754.80 cr. / Rs. 2004.30 cr. (FY16) and Rs. 19596.90 cr. / RS. 2624.70 cr. (FY17). For the first half of the current fiscal, it has earned a net profit of Rs. 391 cr. on a turnover of Rs. 5665.90 cr.

For last three fiscals, it has posted an average EPS of Rs. 54 and an average RoNW of 17.67%. Hindustan Aeronautic’s last three fiscal’s EPS stands at Rs. 73 (FY17), Rs. 42 (FY16) and Rs. 21 (FY15). PAT margins for these fiscals were 14%, 12%, and 6% respectively. It has posted CAGR of 9% for revenues, 62% CAGR in PAT for last three fiscals. The issue is priced at a P/BV of 3.46 on the basis of its NAV of Rs. 358 as on 30.09.17.

It has no listed peers to compare with. Hindustan Aeronautic’s sale to Indian Defense Services accounts for nearly 92% (on an average) of its revenues. According to management, first-half results cannot be annualized to compare as it always does better in the second half due to billings only on delivery of products. However, if we annualize latest earnings and attribute it on its paid-up equity then asking price is at a P/E of 53, but if we consider FY 17earnings, then P/E comes to 17.

Grey Market premium

Current GMP is Rs. 4/- and Kostak is Rs. NIL

 

Only LIC policyholders money can save this IPO.

 

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here

 

Bandhan Bank IPO Review and the list of anchor investors

Bandhan Bank (BB) is a commercial bank focused on serving underbanked and underpenetrated markets in India. It has a banking license that permits it to provide banking services pan-India across customer segments. BB currently offers a variety of asset and liability products and services designed for micro banking and general banking, as well as other banking products and services to generate non-interest income.

Its strength lies in microfinance, including a network of 2,022 doorstep service centers (“DSCs”) and 6.77 million micro loan customers that BFSL transferred to it, which it has grown to 2,546 DSCs and over 9.47 million microloan customers as of September 30, 2017.With the network of 2,546 doorstep service centers (DSCs) and 9.47 million microloan customers, the bank has strong very hold in microfinance. Bandhan bank has 864 bank branches and 386 ATMs serving over 1.87 million general banking customers. Banks distribution network is strong in East and Northeast India, with West Bengal, Assam and Bihar.

Bandhan Bank Raises Rs 1,342 Crore From Anchor Investors.

List of Anchor Investors

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IPO Dates & Price Band:

  • IPO Open: 15-March-2018
  • IPO Close: 19-March-2018
  • IPO Size: Approx Rs. 4470 Crore (Approx)
  • Face Value: Rs. 10 Per Equity Share
  • Price Band: Rs.370 to 375 Per Share
  • Listing on: BSE & NSE
  • Retail Portion: 35%
  • Equity: 119,280,494 Shares

Market Lot:

  • Shares: Apply for 40 Shares (Minimum Lot Size)
  • Amount: Rs.15,000

Allotment & Listing:

  • Basis of Allotment: 22-March-2018
  • Refunds: 23-March-2018
  • Credit to demat accounts: 26-March-2018
  • Listing: 27-March-2018

The promoters:

Bandhan Financial Holdings Limited,
Bandhan Financial Services Limited,
Financial Inclusion Trust And North east Financial Inclusion Trust.

Lead Managers:

Kotak Mahindra Capital
Company Limited
Axis Capital Limited
Goldman Sachs (India)
Securities Private Limited
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited
P. Morgan India Private Limited

Registrar:

Karvy Computershare Private Limited

bandhanbank

Main objects of the issue are:

In terms of the RBI New Bank Licensing Guidelines, the Equity Shares of Bank are required to get listed on the stock exchanges within three years from the date of commencement of business of its Bank, i.e., on or before August 22, 2018. In light of the above, since the Bank is required to get listed on the stock exchanges on or before August 22, 2018, the Bank is undertaking this Issue.  The objects of the Fresh Issue are to augment the Bank’s Tier-I capital base to meet the Bank’s future capital requirements.

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2Strategy

Maintain focus on micro lending while expanding further into other retail and SME lending.

Continue to strengthen its liability franchise.

Boost share of non-interest income.

Enhance its digital platform to improve customer acquisition and retention and reduce costs.

Enhance retail banking systems and procedures to improve efficiency.

Strengths

Operating Model Focused on Serving Underbanked and Underpenetrated Markets.

Consistent Track Record of Growing a Quality Asset and Liability Franchise.

Extensive, Low-Cost Distribution Network.

Customer-Centric Approach.

Consistent Financial Performance and Robust Capital Base.

An experienced and professional team, backed by strong independent board.

2Positive

Focus on the underpenetrated region and new products to ensure loan book growth of more than 23 percent over FY18-20.

The net interest margins (NIMs) of the bank was strong at 9.86%, return on equity (RoE) of 25.55% and return on assets (ROA) of 4.07% (each on an annualized basis) in the nine months ended December 2017 compared with 10.34%, 27.88% and 4.39% in the nine months ended December 2016. The bank has maintained good asset quality amidst challenging macro environment. The gross NPAs stood at 1.67% and the net NPA at 0.80% at end December 2017.

The bank has grown quality asset base over the various phase of development. Its gross loan book has grown from and Rs 7768.79 crore as on 23 August 2015 to Rs 15578.44 crore end March 2016 to Rs 24364.39 crore end December 2017, while customers have increased from 6.77 million to 11.99 million. Deposits base have jumped to Rs 25293.96 crore with CASA ratio of 33.2% and retail deposits ratio of 85.1% end December 2017. The growth in low-cost liability business has led to a reduction in the cost of funding, allowing the bank to lower the lending interest rates while maintaining profitable spreads and further grow the portfolio and capture market share.

The bank’s distribution network is relatively low cost, which in particular is a result of “hub and spoke” model of using DSCs and associated bank branches, as well as focus on tech initiatives. This low-cost model is demonstrated by operating cost-to-income ratio was 35.38% for the nine months ended December 2017 and 36.31% for FY2017.

Overall earnings profile looks comfortable, with premium valuations expected to remain.

The issue seems richly priced, but the bank has a unique business model.

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Negative

Limited operating history and its fast-growing and rapidly evolving business make it difficult to evaluate its business and future operating results on the basis of its past performance, and its future results may not meet or exceed its past performance.

BB cannot effectively compare its financial statements for Fiscal Years 2015, 2016 and 2017 due to irregular terms of duration.

If BB is unable to manage the growth associated with the expansion of its branches, ATMs, and DSCs effectively, its financial, accounting, administrative and technology infrastructure, as well as its business and reputation could be adversely affected.

A substantial portion of its operations is located in East and Northeast India, making us vulnerable to risks associated with having geographically concentrated operations.

Business comprises both traditional general banking activities and modern micro banking activities that expose its business overall to the risks faced by each sector, which may negatively impact its performance.

BB derive a substantial portion of its interest income from advances that are due within one year, and a significant reduction in these short-term advances may result in a corresponding decrease in its interest income.

New India Assurance IPO Review and Current GMP

Microcredit lending has its own unique risks and, as a result, BB may experience increased levels of non-performing loans and related provisions and write-offs that negatively impact its results of operations.

BB rely primarily on deposits as a low-cost means of funding its loan portfolio and there is no guarantee that we will be able to source sufficient deposits or alternative funding to support its business.

An increase in its portfolio of non-performing assets may materially and adversely affect its business and results of operations.

BB may face risks associated with its large number of branches and widespread network of operations which may adversely affect its business, financial condition and results of operations.

Its business and financial results could be impacted materially by adverse results of legal proceedings.

BB does not own the premises at which its Registered and Corporate Office, branches, ATMs, DSCs and other office premises are located.

Comparison with PEERS

6813Valuation

Bandhan Bank’s EPS for 9M of FY2018 on post-issue equity works out to Rs 10.7. At the price band of Rs 370 to Rs 375, P/E works out to 34.6 to 35.0 times.

Post-issue book value of Bandhan Bank works out to Rs 75.6 at the issue price of 370 and Rs 76.0 at the issue price of Rs 375. P/BV works out to 4.9X and P/Adj BV is at 5.0X at the upper price band.

Among the comparable banks, RBL Bank is trading at P/BV (on 9M FY2018 BV) of 3.0X, AU Small Finance Bank is trading at P/BV of 8.4X, Yes Bank is trading at P/BV of 2.8X, IndusInd Bank is trading at P/BV of 4.4X.

Among the comparable NBFCs and leading microfinance lenders, Equitas Holding is trading at P/BV of 2.8X, Ujjivan Financial Services is trading at P/BV of 2.4X and Bharat Financial Inclusion is trading at P/BV of 5.6X.

Grey Market premium

Current GMP is Rs. 26 /- and Kostak is Rs. 800/-

 

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

Bharat Dynamics IPO Review

Bharat Dynamics is one of the leading defense PSUs in India engaged in the manufacture of Surface to Air missiles (SAMs), Anti-Tank Guided Missiles (ATGMs), underwater weapons, launchers, countermeasures and test equipment. It is the sole manufacturer in India for SAMs, torpedoes, ATGMs (Source: F&S Report). It is also the sole supplier of SAMs and ATGMs to the Indian armed forces (Source: F&S Report).

Additionally, it is also engaged in the business of refurbishment and life extension of missiles manufactured. It is also the codevelopment partner with the DRDO for the next generation of ATGMs and SAMs. It is a wholly-owned GoI company headquartered in Hyderabad and under the administrative control of the MoD, GoI and were conferred the ‘Mini-ratna (Category -1)’ status by the Department of Public Enterprises, GoI. Founded in 1970, it has over four decades of experience in manufacturing missiles and countermeasures and its allied equipment.

BDL

IPO Dates & Price Band:

  • IPO Open: 13-March-2018
  • IPO Close: 15-March-2018
  • IPO Size: Approx Rs.960 Crore (Approx)
  • Face Value: Rs.10 Per Equity Share
  • Price Band: Rs.413 to 428 Per Share
  • Listing on: BSE & NSE
  • Retail Portion: 35%
  • Equity: 22,451,953 Shares 
  • Retail & Employee Discount: Rs.10

IPO Market Lot:

  • Shares: Apply for 35 Shares (Minimum Lot Size)
  • Amount: Rs.14,630 (For Retail & Employee)
  • Amount: Rs.14,980 (For QIB & HNI)

IPO Allotment & Listing:

  • Basis of Allotment: 20-March-2018
  • Refunds: 21-March-2018
  • Credit to demat accounts: 22-March-2018
  • Listing: 23-March-2018

Company Promoters:

President of India

Government of India

IPO Registrar:

Alankit Assignments Ltd

IPO Lead Managers:

  • IDBI Capital Markets & Securities Ltd
  • SBI Capital Markets Ltd
  • Yes Securities (India) Ltd

Economic Trends & Growth Outlook

The Central Statistics Organization and the Indian Monetary Fund forecasts India to be one of the fastest growing economy for the 2017-18 fiscal period. The Government of India forecasts the economy to grow at 7.1% during the same year. The growth is among the strongest of the G-20 nations.

Foreign Development Investment (FDI) rates have increased in sectors like defense, insurance, and other sectors. As a result FDI has jumped from $ 36 Billion in 2013-14 to $ 60 Billion in 2016-17. Under the ambit of the ‘Make in India’ initiative, investment procedure, license applications, declarations and other processes has been streamlined to boost investor confidence. Applications for permits have been digitized, and a new uniform tax regime (Goods & Services Tax) has been implemented to reduce complexity in taxation.

The Indian Defence Market – Macro Outlook

The Indian defense market is in a state of transition, as a result of new policies promulgated by the government. The Indian Armed Forces have not been able to spend the entire defense budget allocated, owing to straitjacketed procurement procedures and inherent delays; and the gap between allocated and actual defense spending has been increasing over the years. Frost & Sullivan expects the underspend in defense to decrease during the forecast period, as the government modifies policies to simplify procurement. Reduced underspending will drive defense budgets and the market will expand to $68.7 billion, recording a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.52 %, or $79.17 billion at a CAGR of 8.04 % depending on the government’s ability to simplify procurement through policy initiatives.

Defense Industry Drivers

Drivers

Terrorism, Borders, and Internal Security Problems

problems

New FDI Policies and DPP 2016

keyDefense Procurement Planning in India

defenceImage Source: Frost & Sullivan

New Policy Developments and Implications

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Indian Defence Exports are on the rise

exportsIndian Defence Budget Forecast 2017-26

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Guided Missile & Torpedo Market Landscape

world

Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management ( First MF ) IPO Review

Competitive Strengths

Modern facilities and infrastructure to deliver quality products in a timely manner.

Increase in indigenization of our products and implementation of the “Make in India” policy.

Quality control of our products.

Strong order book and established financial track record of delivering growth.

Experienced board and senior management team.

Our Strategies

Continue to invest in infrastructure.

Focus on R&D.

Developing new products.

Provide its product offerings to the international market.

Positive

Valuations are lower compared to peers like Bharat Electronics and Apollo Micro System.

Bharat Dynamics has a strong order book and revenue outlook, coupled with superior return ratios compared to peers.

The company has a dominant position as a government-owned defense enterprise.

Strong return ratios, negative working capital management, strong growth track and superior balance sheet (debt-free) are positive.

Negative

BDL is primarily dependent on a single customer, the Indian armed forces through the Ministry of Defence, Government of India (“MoD”). A decline or reprioritization of the Indian defence budget,the reduction in their orders, termination of contracts or failure to succeed in tendering projects and deviations in the short term and long term policies of the MoD or the Indian armed forces in the future will have a material adverse impact on its business, financial condition, and results of operations, growth prospects and cash flows.

As a result of national security concerns, certain information in relation to its business and operations is classified as ‘secret and confidential’ pursuant to which BDL have not disclosed such information in this DRHP nor provided such information to the BRLMs and other intermediaries and advisors involved in this Offer.

Its business operation is based out of three units in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh. The loss of, or shutdown of, its operations at any of its units in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh will have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results of operations.

BDL’s future growth and expansion are limited by its production capacities, the requirements of the MoD and the locations at which we operate.

Do Not Compare Yourself with Other Investors While Making Investment

BDL’s agreements, memorandums of understanding and non-disclosure agreements with various business partners may not yield the benefits we expect.

BDL derive its revenues from the MoD contracts on the achievement of certain milestones. Its contracts with the MoD are subject to termination.

Imposition of liquidated damages and invocation of performance bank guarantees / indemnity bonds by its customers could impact its results of operations and BDL may face potential liabilities from lawsuits and claims by customers in the future.

BDL is subject to a number of procurement rules and regulations of the MoD, Government regulations and other rules and regulations. Its business and its reputation could be adversely affected if BDL fail to comply with applicable rules.

Its business could be adversely affected by an adverse outcome of an audit by the Comptroller Auditor General of India (“CAG”).

The CAG and its current and past statutory auditors have qualified and made certain observations in their audit report on its financial statements in recent financial years.

There are outstanding legal and tax proceedings involving the Company. Any adverse decision in such proceedings may expose us to liabilities or penalties and may adversely affect its business,financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.

BDL has had a negative net cash flows in the past and may continue to have negative cash flows in the future.

Financials:

Total Income of 2016-17 INR 51,980.7 Millions
Total Income of  6M 2017-18 INR 21,902.51 Millions
Earnings per Share (EPS) INR.21.57**
Earnings per Share (EPS) 6M INR.7.21**
Equity Capital as on 30.9.2017 INR 916.41 Million
Equity Capital after the IPO: INR.
Upper Price Band/last EPS: 19.84**
Book Value of the Share As on September 30, 2017  INR 88.96**
**NAV adjusted for bonus shares  in the ratio of 1:1
Upper offer price/Book Value Ratio: 4.81

It has no direct listed peers to compare with in India. In India BEL, Cochin Shipyard, L&T, M&M, Tata Power, Reliance Defense etc. are working on defense projects but their main revenue comes from another sector.

If we compare BDL to some exact peers in the United States – Lockheed Martin P/E 25, Rockwell Collins P/E 27, Northrop Grumman P/E 26, Raytheon P/E 28. BDL is asking same as international peers. Looks like it is fully priced.

Grey Market premium

Current GMP is Rs.4/- and Kostak is Rs.250/-

Conclusion:

BDL share is offered to retail investors at Rs. 418 ( net of retail discount) PE of 18.43 on Estimated EPS for the current year. So the IPO is very very reasonably priced. Yet due to varied factors Grey market lacks any fancy for this IPO and at the time of listing, Wishes of Grey market prevails.

So Listing Gains may not be significant. yet one should APPLY this IPO for solid Medium to long Term Gains.

 

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

 

Top 5 sectors to invest after budget allocation

There are all efforts in Union Budget 2018 to appease rural and EWS population but at the same time Government tried to maintain the fiscal discipline by keeping fiscal deficit target at 3.5% and 3.2% for FY18E and FY19E, respectively.

Although deficit targets are higher as compared to previous estimates but considering surge in prices of crude oil, these are respectable numbers.

Higher than estimated expenses and lower than expected revenue on account of lower GST collection and no spectrum auctions lead to miss on fiscal deficit targets.

Budget speech has talked about total expenses from all agencies at Rs.14 lac crore towards aiding rural economy/farmers’ income.

Here are the top 5 sectors to invest after budget allocation

Rural Spending:

This will have a far-reaching impact on growth rates of country and reduction of income gaps in society. Companies and sectors deriving the majority of revenues from the rural economy like 2 wheelers, FMCG Companies, fertilizer companies will benefit from the push to rural spending. Positive for HUL, Hero Motocorp, ITC, Godrej Agrovet to benefit from the move.

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Infrastructure:

Budget 2018 continued to put a strong focus on infrastructure development, which is in line with the expectations. FM has allocated extra-budgetary support of Rs. 5.97 lakh crore v/s Rs. 3.96 lakh crore in the last budget for the infrastructure sector, which is encouraging as India needs a significant amount of investment in infrastructure due to growing needs.

Higher allocation in infrastructure segment will essentially expedite infrastructure development in the country, which in turn will aid many industries, i.e. metals, cement, building materials, etc.

How to choose the best mutual fund for your portfolio

Construction companies like KNR Construction, J Kumar, NCC to play infrastructure theme from the budget. Positive for cement companies like JK Cement and Sagar Cement to benefit from push to infra.

Healthcare:

Union budget has also proposed coverage of Rs. 5 Lac per household to total 10 Cr households for hospitalization. The move will benefit hospital chains like Apollo Hospitals and Narayana Hrudyalay.

It will also have a positive impact on companies like Thyrocare and Dr. Lal Path Labs. Insurance companies will also benefit because of insurance premium received towards coverage of families.

Affordable Housing:

Among other major initiatives budget has proposed the creation of affordable housing fund under NHB. This will benefit all affordable housing players like Mahindra Lifespace, Ashiana Housing, etc.

It will also have a positive impact on affordable housing financiers like Gruh Finance, DHFL, and Can Fin Homes.

Tyres:

Within tax proposals, the budget has proposed to increase customs duty on imported Truck and Bus Radials from 10-15 percent, which will benefit companies like Apollo Tyres and JK Tyres who have significant exposure towards truck tyres.

 

Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

IPOs with the Route of NFO: A unique theme

Edelweiss Mutual Fund coming with New Fund Offer name EDELWEISS MAIDEN OPPORTUNITIES FUND-SERIES 1.

It is Close Ended Equity Scheme Investing Across large,mid and small cap stocks in Recently 2-3 years listed IPO’s and Upcoming IPO’s.

Since IPO-Initial Public Offering Activity has picked up in recent years with over Rs.1,00,000 cr being raised in last 2 years. Robust IPO activity has created multiple maiden investment opportunities.

This fund is first of its kind in the industry that intends to follow a disciplined approach while investing in recent and upcoming listings.The aim is to make investing in such maiden ideas accessible and simpler for retail investors.

Investing in India’s Prospective Opportunities(IPO) is the mantra of this NFO.

New Sectors Such as Insurance, Diagnostic, Staffing Solutions,stock exchange & Depository, Retail and Asset Management Company are being introduced offering unique Opportunities to play India’s growth story.

Three key aspects of IPO investing:

  1. Access – A dedicated fund Investing in recent IPOs to provide better access and thereby maximizing gains.
  2. Selection – Provides right selection of IPOs as not all IPOs are investment worthy.
  3. Post listing Gain – A structured approach to optimize post listing gains as many IPOs have generated healthy returns over next 12 to 18 months after listing.

EDELWEISS MAIDEN OPPORTUNITIES FUND-SERIES 1 Fund Strategy.

  1. Stock Selection – Best 20-30 ideas from recently listed and upcoming IPOs.
  2. Style – Multi-cap and Sector agnostic approach
  3. Protection – Endeavors to protect downside through put options
  4. Profit Booking – Aims for systematic profit booking through dividend  payouts(subjected to availability)

Positive

Heightened IPO activity provides good investment opportunity.

  1. Select best recently listed and upcoming IPOs through a process driven approach.
  2. Access to large number of IPOs with Limited Money.
  3. Tradition Diversified Mutual Funds give limited exposes to IPOs.
  4. Endeavors to protect downside and declare dividends(subjected to availability).

IPO FINALFund Features

NFO Period: 2nd Feb 2018 to 16th Feb 2018

Maturity Date: 28th June 2021

MICR Cheque: Till end of business hours on 15th Feb 2018

Plans and Options:Regular Plan with Growth and Dividend Payout

Offer of units: Rs. 10/- each during the New Fund Offer Period

Minimum Application Amount-Rs. 5000/-(plus in multiple of rs. 10)

Liquidity: To be Listed on exchange

Fund Manager: Bhavesh Jain and Bharat Lahoti

Download the Fact sheet of Fund manger of Bhavesh Jain

Download (PDF, 93KB)

Download the Fact sheet of Fund manger of Bharat Lahoti

Download (PDF, 95KB)

Benchmark: Nifty 200 Index

The benchmark for the Scheme is NIFTY 200 Index. The performance of the Scheme would be bench marked with NIFTY 200 Index since it is in line with the investment objective and this reflects the primary universe of stocks from where the portfolio would be constructed by the fund managers.

INVESTMENT MANAGER:

Edelweiss Asset Management Limited

Registar:

Karvy Computershare Private Limited.

The AMC / Trustee Company reserve the right to revise the load structure from time to time. Such changes will become effective prospectively from the date such changes are incorporated.

Since the fund having lock-in of 3.5 years. It provide fund manager time to perform him expertise.

Know more About P/E Ratio and its Significance

Risk factors:

Standard Risk factors

Investment in Mutual Fund Units involves investment risks such as trading volumes, settlement risk, liquidity risk, default risk including the possible loss of principal.

Mutual funds and securities investments are subject to market risks and there is no assurance or guarantee against loss in the Scheme or that the Scheme’s objective will be achieved.

The present Scheme is not a guaranteed or assured return Scheme.

Scheme Specific Risk factors:

Risk Factors Associated with Equity & Equity related instruments.

Risks Associated with Fixed Income and Money Market Instruments.

Interest rate risk, Spread risk, Credit risk or default risk, Liquidity Risk, Reinvestment risk,Performance Risk,Market risk,

Risk factors associated with investment in ADRs/GDRs and Foreign Securities.

Risk Factors Associated with Derivative.

Risk factor specifically while using Options (non arbitrage), Risks attached with the use of debt derivatives.

Risk Associated with Securitized Debt.

Risks Associated with Stock Lending & Short Selling.

Risks Associated with Trading of Units on Stock Exchange.

Risk associated with Close Ended Scheme.

Information about the scheme:

Investment objective:

The investment objective of the Scheme is to seek to provide capital appreciation by investing in equity and equity related securities of companies which are new in the sector, early in their growth stage and are poised to benefit from the India growth story in the long-term.

However, there is no assurance that the investment objective of the Scheme will be realized and the Scheme does not assure or guarantee any returns.

Asset allocation and investment pattern:

Under normal circumstances, the anticipated asset allocation under each Series of the Scheme, will be as follows:

Indicative Allocation

(% to net assets)

                       Risk Profile
Equity and Equity

related instruments including derivatives

65% to 100% Medium to High
Debt and

money market instruments

0% to 35% Low

The Scheme will not invest in credit default swaps.

Investment in Securitized Debt will be up to 50% of debt allocation.

Investment in ADRs/ GDRs/ Foreign Securities, whether issued by companies in India and foreign Securities, as permitted by SEBI Regulation, can be up to 35% of the Net Assets of the Scheme.

The Scheme may, if the Trustees permit, engage in short selling of securities in accordance with the framework relating to short selling and securities lending and borrowing specified by SEBI. The Scheme shall not deploy more than 20% of its net assets in stock lending and not more than 5% of the net assets of the Scheme will be deployed in Stock lending to any single counter party.

The Scheme may invest in derivatives up to 50% of the Net Assets of the Scheme.

The cumulative gross exposure through equity, debt and derivative positions should not exceed 100% of the net assets of the Scheme. The exposure to Derivatives mentioned as a percentage to the Net Assets means Gross Notional Exposure.

Cash or cash equivalents with residual maturity of less than 91 days will be treated as not creating any exposure.

Portfolio Re balancing.

Investment in CBLO before the closure of NFO.

IPO

Where will the scheme invest?

The corpus of the Plan under the Scheme shall be invested in any (but not exclusively) of the following securities:

1) Equity and Equity related instruments

  • Equity shares
  • Equity related instruments: convertible bonds, convertible debentures, equity warrants, convertible preference shares, etc.
  • Equity Derivatives
  • ADR, GDR, Foreign equity and Equity related instrument as may be permitted by SEBI/RBI from time to time.
  • Any other securities permitted by SEBI from time to time.

2) Debt securities:

Each Series under the Scheme will retain the flexibility to invest in the entire range of debt instruments and money market instruments. These instruments are more specifically highlighted below:

Debt instruments (in the form of non-convertible debentures, bonds, secured premium notes, zero interest bonds, deep discount bonds, floating rate bond / notes and any other domestic fixed income securities) include, but are not limited to:

1) Debt issuances of the Government of India, State and local Governments, Government Agencies and statutory bodies (which may or may not carry a state / central government guarantee),

2) Debt instruments that have been guaranteed by Government of India and State Governments,

3) Debt instruments issued by Corporate Entities (Public / Private sector undertakings),

4) Debt instruments issued by Public / Private sector banks and development financial institutions.

Rs. 4 Lakh In Reliance Banking Fund Turns Over Rs. 1 Crore In Less Than 15 Years

Money Market Instruments include:

1) Commercial papers, 2) Commercial bills, 3) Treasury bills, 4) Government,securities having an unexpired maturity upto one year, 5) Collaterlised Borrowing & Lending Obligation (CBLO), 6) Certificate of deposit,7) Usance bills, 8) Permitted securities under a repo / reverse repo agreement (other than Corporate Debt Securities), 9) Any other like instruments as may be permitted by RBI / SEBI from time to time.

Pending deployment within reasonable time period and towards the maturity of the Series:

The monies may be kept in cash and cash equivalents viz. overnight investment in CBLO, reverse repo, money market instruments, liquid and money market mutual fund schemes.

The AMC may park the funds of the Plan in short term deposits of scheduled commercial banks, subject to the guidelines issued by SEBI vide its circular dated April 16, 2007, as amended from time to time.

Investment in Securitised Debt.

The investments in Securitised debt papers including Pass through Certificates (PT/Cs) may be made upto 35% of the net assets of the Scheme. Securitization is a structured finance process, which involves pooling and repackaging of cash-flow producing financial assets into securities that are then sold to investors.

  • Auto Loans (cars / commercial vehicles /two wheelers)
  • Residential Mortgages or Housing Loans
  • Consumer Durable Loans
  • Corporate Loans

Personal Loans Pass Through Certificates

Investments in the Schemes of Mutual Fund

Setting up a goal: First step to Financial Planning ( Video )

Strategy and Approach:

The Scheme will be a diversified equity fund which will invest in equity and equity related securities of the companies that are new in the sector, early in their growth phase and are likely to benefit in the long term from the macro and demographic aspects of the Indian economy.

The Fund will invest in a diversified basket of equity stocks spanning the entire market capitalization spectrum and across multiple sectors with special focus on companies that are newly introduced in the market and are unique businesses The Fund would identify companies for investment, based on the following criteria amongst others:

  1. Track record of the company
  2. Potential for future growth
  3. Industry economic scenario & its outlook

The fund manager proposes to concentrate on business and economic fundamentals driven by in-depth research techniques and employing the potential of the research team at the AMC.

Key to the manager’s investment strategy is the identification of triggers for potential appreciation of stocks in the universe over the medium to long term time frame. As and when the fund manager is of the view that a specific investment has met its desired objective, the investment maybe liquidated.

The Scheme may also use various derivatives and hedging products from time to time, as would be available and permitted by SEBI, or in an attempt to limit the downside risk of the portfolio.

The Scheme may invest in other schemes managed by the AMC or in the schemes of any other Mutual Funds, provided it is in conformity with the investment objective of the Scheme and in terms of the prevailing Regulations. As per the Regulations, no investment management fees will be charged for such investments. As per the SEBI Regulations, such inter-scheme investments shall not exceed 5% of the Net Asset Value of the Fund.

Derivative & Arbitrage Strategies

Derivatives are financial contracts of pre-determined fixed duration, whose values are derived from the value of an underlying primary financial instrument, or index, such as: interest rates, exchange rates, and equities.

Cash Future Arbitrage.

Illustrations

Buy 100 shares of Company A at Rs 100 and sell the same quantity of stock’s future of the Company A at Rs 101.

  1. Market goes up and the stock end at Rs 200.

At the end of the month (expiry day) the future expires automatically:

Settlement price of future = closing spot price = Rs 200

Gain on stock is 100*(200-100) = Rs 10,000

Loss on future is 100*(101-200) = Rs – 9,900

Net gain is 10,000 – 9,900 = Rs 100

  1. Market goes down and the stock end at Rs 50.

At the end of the month (expiry day) the future expires automatically:

Settlement price of future = closing spot price = Rs 50

Loss on stock is 100*(50-100) = Rs – 5,000

Gain on future is 100*(101-50) = Rs 5,100

Net gain is 5,100 – 5,000 = Rs 100

Index Arbitrage.INDEX ARBPortfolio Protection/ Hedging.

Interest Rate Swaps (IRS) and Forward Rate Agreements (FRA).

Stock Lending.

Investment in debt/ money market instruments.

Investment in Mutual Fund Units.

Risk Control.

Portfolio Turnover

 

Mutual Fund Investment are Subjected to Market Risks,Read all Scheme Related Document Carefully.Return Expectation just assume may varies.

Disclaimer: No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

How to choose the best mutual fund for your portfolio

Selecting Right Mutual Fund is like selecting Right Life Partner. Any wrong decision can wipe out your personal wealth. What makes it more difficult is volatility in performance of mutual fund. Some people select Mutual Fund only on the basis on their rankings.

If mutual fund rankings  are 100% correct then all portals or financial advisers should suggest same set of mutual funds to their clients or readers. You will find large variation in the rankings of Mutual Funds.

Second problem is volatility in performance. A star performer fund this year might be worst performing fund next year. It is advisable to review the investment portfolio every 6 to 12 months. In short, undertake the exercise of selecting right mutual fund every 6 to 12 months. Third problem with Indian investor is that they invest without evaluating the investment objective. Reason being investment objective help to decide in which mutual fund class the investor should invest.

Lastly, it is absolutely necessary to understand in which direction economy will move in next 12 months.

Choosing a scheme from thousands of mutual fund schemes available in the market is not easy for many investors. Opting for the right mutual fund scheme is one of the biggest hurdles faced by many new investors. However, you would be fine if you are ready to follow some broad guidelines.

Alpha

A measure of a scheme’s over- or under-performance by comparison to its benchmark. It represents the return of the scheme when the benchmark is assumed to have a return of zero, and thus indicates the extra value that the manager’s activities have contributed.

Beta

Beta is a statistical estimate of a scheme’s volatility by comparison to that of its benchmark, i.e. how sensitive the scheme is to movements in the section of the market that comprises the benchmark. Beta close to 1 means a scheme is likely to move in line with its benchmark, greater than 1 and the scheme is more volatile than the benchmark.

r 2

The R-Squared measure is an indication of how closely correlated a scheme is to an index or a benchmark. It uses an R-Squared range between 0 and 1, with 0 indicating no correlation at all, and 1 showing a perfect match. Values upwards of 0.7 suggest that the scheme’s behaviour is increasingly closely linked to its benchmark, whereas the relevance begins to diminish below that.

Sharpe

Sharpe calculates the level of a scheme’s return against the return of a notional risk-free investment, such as cash or Government bonds. The difference in returns is then divided by the scheme’s standard deviation – its volatility, or risk measurement. The resulting ratio is an indication of the amount of excess return generated per unit of risk. Therefore, a negative Sharpe usually suggests investments would have been better off in risk-free government securities. When analysing similar investments, the one with the highest Sharpe has achieved more return while taking on no more risk than its fellows – or, conversely, has achieved a similar return with less risk.

riskVolatility

Volatility is calculated using standard deviation, a statistical measurement which, when applied to an investment scheme, expresses its volatility, or risk. Volatility shows how widely a range of returns varied from the scheme’s average return over a particular period.

Lower volatility means that the holding’s value changes at a steady pace over time.

Higher volatility means that the holding’s value fluctuates over short time periods.

Discrete Performance

The aggregate amount that the investment has gained or lost between two specified time periods.

Distribution of Returns

Distribution analysis looks at the distribution of returns over a given time period. The X axis shows all the possible returns with the theoretical range of -100% to + infinity.

The Y axis shows the frequency with which these returns occur. The purpose of this sort of analysis is to look past the scheme’s average return and determine whether it is the most likely return. This is done by looking at the bell curve and measuring the distributions skew and kurtosis.

Do Not Compare Yourself with Other Investors While Making Investment

Simple Annualised Performance

The absolute increase or decrease in value of an investment over a given period of time, expressed as a percentage per year.

Dividend Yield

The return on an investment by means of interest or dividends received from the holdings. Dividend Yield within fact sheets is supplied by the Scheme Manager on a regular basis, who is under no obligation to define the type of dividend yield supplied i.e. Gross/Net or Running/Redemption.

Tax treatment of dividends

Dividends received from all mutual funds are tax free in the hands of the investors.

However, in the case of debt funds the fund house pays a dividend distribution tax of 28.84% which includes surcharge and cess. In an equity mutual fund there is no dividend distribution tax.

Absolute Performance

This measure looks at the appreciation or depreciation that an asset achieves over a given period of time.Unlike Relative performance, which is compared to another measure or benchmark.

Calendar Year Performance

The aggregate amount that the investment has gained or lost between the dates 1st January to the 31st December for the specified year.

Compound Annualised Performance

The rate of return which represents the cumulative effect that a series of gains or losses have on an original amount of capital over a given period of time, typically one year and above, expressed on annual basis or return per year.

Note : Past performance of fund does not guarantee the future returns.

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

Future Supply Chain Solutions Ltd IPO Review

Future Supply Chain Solutions Ltd. (FSC) is a supply chain and logistics company. Future Supply Chain Solutions is part of Kishore Biyani’s Future Enterprise Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2006. The company offers automated and IT-enabled warehousing, distribution and other logistics solutions. It has customers in various sectors all across India, including ATMs, automotive and engineering, retail, fashion & apparel, food – beverage, FMCG, e-commerce, health-care, electronics and technology, home and furniture.

It has 42 distribution centers across India, which covers approximately 3,500,000 square feet of warehouse space.

List of anchor investors

Download (PDF, 601KB)

The company offers customers services in three key areas:

  1. Contract Logistics
  2. Express Logistics
  3. Temperature-Controlled Logistics

The promoters :

Future Enterprises Limited ( Kishore Biyani Group company)

Main objects of the issue are:

1. Avail the benefit of listing of the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges;
2.To Enhance stability and brand image and
3.To provide liquidity to its existing shareholders.

FUTURE

IPO Dates & Price Band:

  • IPO Open: 06-December-2017
  • IPO Close: 08-December-2017
  • IPO Size: Approx Rs. 650 Crore (Approx)
  • Face Value: Rs. 10 Per Equity Share
  • Price Band: Rs. 660 to 664 Per Share
  • Listing on: BSE & NSE
  • Retail Portion: 35%
  • Equity: 9,784,570 Shares

Market Lot:

  • Shares: Apply for 22 Shares (Minimum Lot Size)
  • Amount: Rs.14,608

Allotment & Listing:

  • Basis of Allotment: 12-December-2017
  • Refunds: 14-December-2017
  • Credit to demat accounts: 14-December-2017
  • Listing: 18-December-2017

IPO Registrar:

Link Intime India Private Ltd

Lead Managers:

  • IDFC Bank Limited
  • IIFL Holdings Limited
  • Yes Securities (India) Limited

Do Not Compare Yourself with Other Investors While Making Investment

Risks and Upsides

Logistics service providers face the following general challenges in the market:

Foreign direct investment activity is uncertain and is dependent on global policies and market volatility.

A slowdown in the user industry could affect the volumes handled by logistics service providers.

Quality and availability of infrastructure could impact performance.

Intense competition and low barriers to entry in certain segments could affect logistics service providers.

Increasing scale could be challenging.

The express logistics industry is sensitive to high operating costs; and

There is a need to continuously invest in and evolve technology.

Strengths

One of the largest service providers with an extensive network of facilities in a fast-growing third-party logistics market.

Comprehensive solution for supply chain requirements.

Diverse customer base across many sectors.divrsificationAt the forefront in introducing new standards of technology and automation in the logistics industry in India.

Longstanding relationship with Future Entities.

Experienced management team with logistics and retail sector-specific knowledge.

Khadim India Limited IPO Review

Strategies

Capitalise on the growth of the third-party logistics industry in India.

Target growth by identifying new customers, increasing its share of existing customers’ third-party logistics spending and leveraging existing relationships.

Expand addressable market through customized and new service offerings.

Invest further in infrastructure and expand its network.

Explore inorganic growth opportunities.

Continue to improve operating efficiencies and implement technological and process enhancements.

indian log mktNegative

The Future Entities are its key customers and its Promoter and certain of its Group Companies account for a significant portion of its revenue. Any failure to maintain its relationship with these customers will have a material adverse effect on its financial performance and results of operations.

FSC’s business is affected by prevailing economic conditions in India and indirectly affected by changes in consumer spending capacity in the sectors we serve within India.

FSC may face competition from a number of international and domestic third-party logistics companies, which may adversely affect its market position and business.

Delays or defaults in payment by its customers could affect its cash flows and may adversely affect its financial condition and operations.

An inability to pass on any increase in operating expenses to its customers may adversely affect its business and results of operations.

FSC are heavily dependent on machinery and equipment for its operations. Any breakdown of its machinery or equipment will have a significant adverse effect on its business, reputation, financial results and growth prospects.

FSC business is highly dependent on technology and automation and any disruptions of or failure to update such technology or automation could have an adverse effect on its results and operations.

Changing regulations in India could lead to new compliance requirements that are uncertain.

The trend toward outsourcing of supply chain management activities, throughout India or within specific sectors, may change, thereby reducing demand for its services.

Conditions and restrictions imposed on FSC by the agreements entered into with some of its customers could adversely affect its business and results of operations.

The performance of its express logistics and temperature-controlled businesses may continue to decline.

Dependence on third-party vendors could have an adverse effect on its business financial condition and results of operations.

Some of its lease agreements may have certain irregularities.

FSC’s Promoter, Group Companies, and Directors are involved in certain legal proceedings and potential litigation.Any adverse decision in such proceedings may render us/them liable to liabilities/penalties and may adversely affect its business and results of operations.

Compititive positioning of Logistics service providers 

KEYFinancials

For FY 2017, 2016 and 2015, the revenue from operations was Rs. 5,611.83 crores, Rs. 5,198.70 crores, and Rs. 4,079.63 crores, respectively. (A CAGR of 17.3%.)

For FY 2017, 2016 and 2015, the net profit was Rs. 457.54 crores, Rs. 294.27 crores, and Rs. 246.57 crores, respectively, (A CAGR of 36.2%.)

For FY 2017, 2016 and 2015, the EBITDA was Rs. 742.82 crores, Rs. 699.40 crores, and Rs. 639.40 crores, respectively, (A CAGR of 7.8% during the last three Fiscals.)

Financial snapshot of Key companies.

financial snapshotValuations

On the upper price band of Rs.664/- and Restated FY17 EPS of Rs.11.69, P/E ratio works out to be 56x. Even based on last three years restated EPS of Rs. 9.41, P/E ratio works out to be 70x. Means, companies are asking higher price band of Rs.664/- in the P/E ratio of 56x to 70x. Its only listed peers Mahindra Logistics Ltd. is trading at P/E ratio of 68x. Hence we compare this way; Future supply chain is overpriced.  

Grey market premium

Currently, Grey market premium is Rs. 20/- ( Seller )

DISCLAIMER

No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here.

 

Under performance of Equity Mutual Fund against their respective Benchmarks

A large number of equity mutual funds in the country has underperformed against their respective benchmark indices over the last five years.

Around 44% of the open-ended diversified equity mutual fund schemes failed to beat their benchmark in the last year. Nine schemes underperformed their benchmarks by over ten percentage points. 31 schemes underperformed by five to ten percentage points. There are 275 open-ended diversified equity schemes.

MFEven the schemes that managed to beat their benchmarks in the last year, 26 schemes outpaced their benchmark by only up to two percentage points.

Moving to specific categories, out of 65 large cap schemes, 30 schemes underperformed their benchmark.

What are Dynamic Funds? ( Video )

The mid-cap category was the worst hit, with 62 percent schemes underperforming. We had a total of 34 mid-cap schemes on our list. 

Around 50 percent multi-cap schemes failed to beat their benchmark. Four in seven small-cap schemes remained under-performers.

Sectoral schemes, which are considered risky because of their focused sector exposure, had 11 under-performing schemes out of 49 schemes in total.

We have compiled a set of top under-performing funds in one-year period across equity categories given in the following table.

return

The scorecard reveals a majority of large-cap equity funds failed to beat the S&P CNX Nifty, the benchmark for large caps, with 53.33 percent underperforming their benchmark over the last five years, 57.14 percent during the previous three years and 52.63 percent over the previous year.

The percentage of actively managed equity funds underperforming the benchmark indices has seen a declining trend since December 2010. However, their number still exceeds those outperforming the index.

Retirement Fund : What is a Systematic Withdrawal Plan ( VIDEO )

Many actively-managed equity mutual fund schemes have failed or struggled to beat their benchmarks. Always place a lot of emphasis on consistency of performance while choosing a scheme to invest. As a rule, ignore short-term scorching performance while picking a scheme.

However, data from the diversified funds and equity-linked saving schemes (ELSS) suggests a percentage of funds outperforming the benchmark in both one-year and three-year period is stable as compared to five-year period.

Active managers of equity-oriented hybrid funds have also fallen behind benchmarks over both the one-year and five-year time frames.

 

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